Ángel Luis Jiménez | 10-N Spain Goes Back to the Polls | Spanish Elections 10th November | Campo de Gibraltar
The polling results published during the last week of September confirm that parliamentary arithmetic – at least those of the left-right blocs – will vary little on the 10th of November, known in Spain as ‘10-N’. So, after Spain’s return to the polling stations, we may once again find ourselves at square one.
The parties will be obliged to reach agreements among themselves, or failing this, condemning Spanish society to stagnate without a Government and engage in permanently spinning the electoral wheel.
In the annals of the history of Spanish democracy, this next election date could become the ‘elections of demobilization’, with a drop in turnout of more than 10 points: it is the young, the middle-aged and the voters of most centrist parties who are most likely to abstain, especially if the election campaign drifts – as it seems it will – into another display of antagonism.
And, as if that weren’t enough, Spain is also navigating the technological revolution, i.e. social media, which has facilitated the emergence of new parties: until recently there were two at state level (PSOE and PP), then four (with Podemos and Ciudadanos), then five (with Vox) and now six (with Más País). In this situation, Spanish citizens cannot be held responsible for party fragmentation. Political leaders must confront the new social fragmentation by facilitating discussion and agreement, or face the withdrawal of the people’s trust.
The campaign started on Wednesday 25, September with Iñigo Errejón’s announcement that he will present himself as a candidate with the Más País electoral platform. The former number two in Podemos will lead a list that, he said, will leave the capital to seek alliances to “strengthen the left-wing bloc” and help guarantee their representation. “We are pushing our project in an exercise of responsibility after the leaders have failed to reach consensus,” he entones.
From New York, on the same date, Pedro Sánchez said: “today we have symbolically closed the democratic circle,” solemnizing the Supreme Court’s decision to authorize the exhumation and transfer of Franco’s remains. In this context, there is also Sánchez’s speech before the United Nations, presenting himself as a statesman to kick-start his electoral campaign, stating the position of PSOE to the ‘left of the Government’ and emphasizing its ‘centrality’.
But the political landscape is in such upheaval, that the Spanish citizenry will not be able to decide who to vote for until the final moment, until the last day, or until the moment they pick up the ballot at the polling station table.
Let’s not forget that Podemos has been divided and, above all, that the forty days of campaigning until 10-N will have an important influence on the vote. Anything can happen during that time.
During the last Andalusian elections in December, three right-wing parties were able to work together in unison, because those voters who are opposed to socialism were faced with so many offers that they could not refuse.
In the 10-N elections, the so-called progressive vote will have a choice between PSOE, Podemos – if still indignant – and Más País, the pragmatic option, with an alternative to Iglesias’ management style and with the aim of capturing those voters who do not want to vote – abstention being the main danger of these elections.
So, every Spaniard must go and vote on November 10, not to create massive change, but so that we can start moving forward.
Ángel Luis Jiménez | 10-N Spain Goes Back to the Polls | Campo de Gibraltar